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Post by robeiae on Nov 16, 2020 7:15:42 GMT -5
Lol, those are great!
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Post by robeiae on Nov 21, 2020 16:23:22 GMT -5
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Post by Optimus on Nov 21, 2020 17:04:05 GMT -5
Always an excuse. I know that she has to portray a positive face but I'm honestly starting to wonder whether she's getting worse and more transparent in her attempts to mislead, or if she's really become delusional and blind to reality.
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Post by robeiae on Nov 26, 2020 8:51:04 GMT -5
Looking like it's gonna be 222-213. CNN and other media sites don't want to call some of the races for Repubs, it would seem--they're holding it as 222-205 right now, while RCP has it at 222-210--but there doesn't seem to be a way back for those seats, from my reading of the data.
In 2010, Repubs went from 178 seats to 257 (that's a fucking wave). And that was in response to two years of Obama and Biden.
This is why it confounds me that Pelosi is still speaker. She's gonna try to walk a tightrope with the factions in the House while simultaneously trying to advance a Biden/Harris agenda that will likely scare the piss out of some of her more moderate colleagues. It's not gonna work, imo. Would have been better to roll the dice with a progressive leadership. That likely would have gone south, too, but it couldn't be any worse than what's about to happen, imo.
I think 255 is a good over/under number right now, though depending on what happens with Biden, I could see it going up to as high as 265...
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Post by Optimus on Nov 26, 2020 10:36:45 GMT -5
I think 255 is a good over/under number right now, though depending on what happens with Biden, I could see it going up to as high as 265... You lost me with this last sentence. What's the 255-265 that you're talking about?
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Post by robeiae on Nov 26, 2020 11:06:49 GMT -5
Repub seats after the 2022 midterms. They'll have 213 going in, and I think they could pick up 40+. But if things go bad for Biden, I could see that number moving to 50+.
(remember, there will be some redistricting, and almost all of it will be controlled by Repubs, and reapportionment from the census will mostly benefit red states)
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Post by robeiae on Nov 28, 2020 8:48:10 GMT -5
It Wasn't Ideology That Sank House Democrats. It Was Bad Strategy.A bold claim. Can they back it up? Here are some specifics: Okay, that's incorrect, at least with regard to South Florida. The surprises down here in Congressional races--Shalala and Mucarsel-Powell being shown the door--weren't a consequence of super-loyal Trump voters backing other GOP candidates. Exactly the opposite: Trump benefited from the down-ticket candidates--Salazar and Gimenez--but not so much that he actually won the districts. That means there were Dem voters who crossed over to vote for the Repub candidates, but not for Trump. And that was, I think, ideology-driven (or at least what was seen as ideology by voters). So I guess the good folks at Square One need to STFU and admit they were clueless, too...
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Post by Optimus on Nov 28, 2020 10:08:26 GMT -5
I think most of the major Dem strategists have no clue WTF they're talking about. And Dems are way too quick to lavish praise on people who lose and those who don't know what they're talking about, probably because those people say what they want to hear or fit the narrative somehow. Two examples off the top of my head are: 1) Why the hell does anyone still listen to James Carville? That senile lunatic hasn't been right about pretty much anything since the mid-90s, and even then it was probably only by accident. Yet, MSNBC trots him out as one of their go-to "democratic strategists" all the time. 2) Stacey Abrams is another one that I have no idea why they keep propping up as some sort of second-coming of Christ type of candidate. Firstly, she lost her bid for governor and whined that it was due to "racially-motivated vote suppression." Which, even if that were true (and there's no compelling evidence that it is), she likely still would have lost anyway: www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2019/10/30/did-racially-motivated-voter-suppression-thwart-stacey-abrams/But, now she's heralded as really being someone who rallied the Democrat voters in GA and got them to the polls...yet black voter turnout was actually at its lowest level in GA since 2006: nymag.com/intelligencer/2020/11/is-black-voter-turnout-a-problem-for-democrats-in-georgia.htmlBiden just barely won in that state, Republicans won 8 out of 14 House seats, and the Dems will likely barely squeak by with 1 out of 2 senate seats there. That's not even considering that the entire state government is run by Republicans. Also, Tom Perez is an idiot and the DNC has been a failed clusterfuck of an organization for at least the last decade. The Dems reeeeally need to stop listening to losers and clueless morons. But, it kinda wouldn't be the Democratic Party if they did that.
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Post by robeiae on Jan 1, 2021 8:42:35 GMT -5
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Post by robeiae on Jan 1, 2021 8:54:43 GMT -5
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