Temperature fraud? | THE COLLINE GATE—Thoughtful Political Discussion

robeiae
Thaumaturge

On a down bound train

Posts: 6,692

Temperature fraud? Jan 7, 2017 9:19:08 GMT -5

Post by robeiae on Jan 7, 2017 9:19:08 GMT -5

Regardless of the reality of climate change (I, for one, can accept that there is climate change, that the the climate is currently undergoing such change, and even that human activity an contribute to it), one of the things that bugs the most in the debates on this issue is the use of anecdotal evidence as proof:

The "climate change denier" says "it's snowing here for the first time in like forever at this time of the year, it's a new record for lowest temperature, therefore climate change is bunk!"

The "climate change enthusiast" says "it's the hottest day ever here at this time of the year, therefore climate change is absolutely real!"

Now in both cases, people from the other side are quick to point out--correctly--that one-off moments don't prove anything, even after having made the same sorts of claims, themselves. Predictable. However, the enthusiast is often able to argue that their one-off moments are part of a trend, because they are buttressed by evidence extending back decades.

To whit, I give you the following pieces:

manhattancontrarian.com/blog/2017/1/4/the-greatest-scientific-fraud-of-all-time-part-xi
realclimatescience.com/2017/01/why-temperature-fraud-matters/

Both are concerned with the continual "adjustment" of past global temperatures by the gurus of climate science (mostly at NASA). The last graph on the second piece troubles me greatly:

But you know, the first graph isn't much better:

Maybe it's just me, but I can't help but see some similarities here to how unemployment numbers are adjusted...

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Don
Illuminati

Posts: 1,547

Temperature fraud? Jan 7, 2017 18:55:31 GMT -5

Post by Don on Jan 7, 2017 18:55:31 GMT -5

Excellent post, but I've done my rant for the day. I'll have to be sure to come back to this one.

____________________________________________________
Economics puts parameters on people’s utopias. ~Peter Boettke
"It's the voter's fault" is victim-blaming in its purest sense. ~Don
The 'social contract' is to the politician what 'original sin' is to the priest. ~Don
The vision of the helpful and protective state is the most pervasive and counter-productive ideology in the world today. ~Don
____________________________________________________

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Don
Illuminati

Posts: 1,547

Temperature fraud? Jan 9, 2017 7:37:34 GMT -5

Post by Don on Jan 9, 2017 7:37:34 GMT -5

Gee, first there was the notorious hockey stick graph. Now this. And while robeiae has pointed out the cooking of the unemployment books, he didn't mention the concurrent cooking of the inflation rate, the GDP and the overall money supply, all of which are nicely graphed and heavily documented at Shadowstats, along with the true numbers for the unemployment rate.

You know, this is another nail in the coffin of the "fully informed" voter myth. If scientists are cooking data to keep their customers (the government agencies funding them) happy, and if government agencies themselves are cooking data to make their programs look good, even a "fully informed" voter, relying on "trusted" data, has no valid information with which to form an opinion. Now toss in popular data cookbooks, like Piketty, and it's 1984 all over again.

When you roll all that into one huge doobie and light it, it's apparent that a "fully informed" voter, dedicating a patriot's share of their personal time to being as informed as possible by "trusted" sources, has been thoroughly propagandized and will probably reach a worse voting decision than the man in the street who's voting based on rumor and innuendo.

The political class considers voters mushrooms. Their intent is that we be kept in the dark and fed bullshit. And it is absolutely amazing, to me, how many content little mushrooms that approach actually grows. Mushrooms who swear the shadows on the wall are reality.

____________________________________________________
Economics puts parameters on people’s utopias. ~Peter Boettke
"It's the voter's fault" is victim-blaming in its purest sense. ~Don
The 'social contract' is to the politician what 'original sin' is to the priest. ~Don
The vision of the helpful and protective state is the most pervasive and counter-productive ideology in the world today. ~Don
____________________________________________________

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robeiae
Thaumaturge

On a down bound train

Posts: 6,692

Temperature fraud? Jan 31, 2017 7:29:24 GMT -5

Post by robeiae on Jan 31, 2017 7:29:24 GMT -5

More on 2016 being the hottest year on record: www.realclearinvestigations.com/articles/2017/01/29/scientists_criticize_hottest_year_on_record_claim_as_hype.html

“The Obama administration relentlessly politicized science and it aggressively pushed a campaign about that politicized science,” said Steven E. Koonin, who served as under secretary for science in Obama’s Department of Energy from 2009 to 2011.

And of course, the media was in the bag, as well:

Following the lead of the Schmidt and government press releases, USA Today wrote that “the planet sizzled to its third straight record warm year in 2016.” The New York Times’ front-page headline said, “Earth Sets Temperature Record for Third Straight Year.” The article declared that the latest readings were “trouncing” earlier numbers and the planet had thus “blown past” the previous records.

Such characterizations are absurd, according to Richard Lindzen, a meteorology professor at MIT and one of the world’s foremost skeptics that global warming represents an existential threat.

“It’s typical misleading nonsense,” Lindzen said in an e-mail. “We’re talking about less than a tenth of degree with an uncertainty of about a quarter of a degree. Moreover, such small fluctuations – even if real – don’t change the fact that the trend for the past 20 years has been much less than models have predicted.”

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