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Post by Vince524 on Sept 8, 2017 22:08:15 GMT -5
I'm a little worried right now over the oldest sister of the foster kids, she lives in Jackson Fl. I've texted her, she says she's safe, but still worried.
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Post by Vince524 on Sept 8, 2017 22:22:32 GMT -5
Per news flash on my phone, Irma back to category 5
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Post by Christine on Sept 8, 2017 22:38:26 GMT -5
Yeah, it's a Cat 5, but more specifically, it's about 5 mph faster than it was when it was a Cat 4.
So, it's sort of insignificantly more awful than it was.
As of the 11:00 p.m. update, my area of the east coast is officially outside of the "cone of uncertainty"--where the eye wall might pass through. (As if anything is certain.) My anxiety is lessened somewhat, at the expense of folks whose anxiety and dread has just ratcheted up a few notches.
This fucking sucks.
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Post by poetinahat on Sept 8, 2017 22:45:23 GMT -5
There is no great news, but I am helped to know that: - mom and dad just got out and filled their gas tank - they were able to do so - they just confirmed their house was built in 2006, post-Andrew regulations for roof construction. So their roof should be solid.
We take good news where we get it.
Christine, Vince, Rob, everyone -- be well, and please do let us know every so often!
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Post by Christine on Sept 8, 2017 22:51:37 GMT -5
That is indeed good news about your folks' house, and the petrol, poet. Definitely does NOT suck.
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Post by Don on Sept 9, 2017 7:01:00 GMT -5
Now that the centerline has moved somewhat west of our house, the DW is starting to relax a bit.
Her latest: "These sandals are going to have to last a long time."
Me: ? ? ?
She: "We won't be going back to Keno's anytime soon."
(Keno's is a great, cheap leather shop in Key West. Or was, according to Schrodinger.)
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Post by Deleted on Sept 9, 2017 7:13:44 GMT -5
I found out yesterday that my dear friend and her parents (whom I've semi adopted) are weathering the hurricane on Amelia Island. Her dad just had hip replacement surgery and didn't want to leave, and my friend and her mom are staying with him. Fingers crossed that it doesn't hit that area too hard -- an island is not a good place to spend a category five hurricane, especially if one of you isn't really mobile.
But as Christine notes, any relief comes at someone else's expense. It will surely suck for some.
Gaah. Be okay, everyone.
On a somewhat lighter note, I came home from the grocery store with way more stuff than I needed or intended to buy. I realized why -- I have been obsessing so much over the hurricanes I am subconsciously hoarding. I'm all set here if anyone wants to come ride it out with me.
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Post by Don on Sept 9, 2017 7:20:36 GMT -5
I've got a whole bunch of family on Amelia Island, and more in Yulee, just a few miles inland from there. They're all prepped up and were ready to bug out if necessary. They're all staying now.
They've done this lots of times over the years, and always made the right call.
Odds are the island will be fine, @cassandraw.
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Post by robeiae on Sept 9, 2017 7:32:59 GMT -5
We've had a few squalls come through, not much else.
You know, the reliance of the TV weather peeps on the "cones" has become seriously problematic. The NOAA's extended cone has proved practically meaningless here. The Keys and the west coast were clear of the cones for a while, after both having been in it for a while (or at least in line with the projected path). This prompted a lot of people in South Florida to flee to Naples. And though the Keys had an evacuation order, when the cones switched hard to the east, some Keys residents actually headed home. Plus, Broward evacuation centers are overflowing with local residents because the cones showed landfall there for a while. But now, eastern Broward and Palm Beach may be the best spots to be (aside from being right on the water).
And fyi, this is why I use the US Navy page: they go with a much larger cone of uncertainty.
Anyway, the thing is on Cuba right now and weakening. There's a fair chance that the next advisory will flip things in yet another direction, though the Keys will still likely take a beating.
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Post by Vince524 on Sept 9, 2017 8:25:26 GMT -5
Just as an FYI, personally I'm in upstate ny, so I'm pretty sure I'm clear. It's just family I'm worried about. I need to call my aunts too.
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Post by maxinquaye on Sept 9, 2017 8:56:25 GMT -5
We've had a few squalls come through, not much else. You know, the reliance of the TV weather peeps on the "cones" has become seriously problematic. The NOAA's extended cone has proved practically meaningless here. The Keys and the west coast were clear of the cones for a while, after both having been in it for a while (or at least in line with the projected path). This prompted a lot of people in South Florida to flee to Naples. And though the Keys had an evacuation order, when the cones switched hard to the east, some Keys residents actually headed home. Plus, Broward evacuation centers are overflowing with local residents because the cones showed landfall there for a while. But now, eastern Broward and Palm Beach may be the best spots to be (aside from being right on the water). And fyi, this is why I use the US Navy page: they go with a much larger cone of uncertainty. Anyway, the thing is on Cuba right now and weakening. There's a fair chance that the next advisory will flip things in yet another direction, though the Keys will still likely take a beating. Ars Technica has done some great reporting on this. US forecast models have been pretty terrible during Hurricane Irma
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Post by maxinquaye on Sept 9, 2017 12:35:08 GMT -5
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Post by Deleted on Sept 9, 2017 13:28:13 GMT -5
Jesus, it is the freaking apocalypse. For better or worse, I just convinced my friend to go stay with friends on the mainland. Her parents are going to a hotel in Jacksonville. My gut is that they are better off on the mainland and with company if it is really bad rather than marooned on an island alone in a house. More access to facilities and help if needed. Also, I have to think the storm surge danger is somewhat less. ETA: The Mayor apparently ordered evacuation of low-lying areas of Jacksonville. I can't see an official evacuation notice for Amelia Island, but it is a low-lying island off Jacksonville. I dunno. It feels like a bad place to be. I hope I urged her to do the right thing. My friend isn't listening to the news because it freaks her out. That worries me, too. I'd rather she was with people. Gaah. I hope I advised her correctly. I did urge her to try to consult local authorities to see what they advised. ETA: She decided to stay put after all. Her parents are going to Jacksonville, though. Gaah. So worried. Rob and Christine, are you getting hit yet?
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Post by Christine on Sept 9, 2017 19:56:46 GMT -5
Nothing much here yet on the Treasure Coast. A few outlier rain bands with a bit of wind. Tomorrow is supposed to be the peak day for our area.
The extra fun bit for us all now outside of the cone (the eye) are the tornado warnings. Palm Beach and Broward counties had warnings a bit earlier. Most of us are under watches. The increased tornado threat is due to something-something-mumble-something, which wasn't previously an issue when we were expected to be directly in the hurricane path.
The radar shows Miami-Dade getting pummeled with rain and wind from outer bands (though not hurricane force, yet, as far as I can tell) , and those effects are getting increasingly larger as Irma approaches Southwest Florida, but I *think* Miami-Dade/Rob is relatively safe from the worst of it? Sending good thoughts.
ETA: re: Amelia Island, as of now, it does look safe to stay. The issue is how severe things can get, island/storm surge-wise, if the projected path changes--shifts east. I think it was wise advice from that standpoint, Cass. One is always safer inland, risk-benefit wise, no matter what. And also since we've all just recently witnessed (again) how quickly forecasts can change.
ETA2: On a lighter note, I took the puppeh on what I figured would be our last long walk for at least a couple of days. I timed it, based on the radar, in between the forecasted rain. We walked about a mile out and proceeded to get drenched. I was chagrined, but puppeh was in heaven -- for a lab, it appears the next best thing to being totally submersed in water is getting caught in a downpour. <3
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Post by Deleted on Sept 10, 2017 9:40:08 GMT -5
Puppies really love blizzards, too. At least mine did. Our dog was never happier than in white-out conditions with snow higher than my boots.
Florida friend finally did decide to go to the mainland after all. It seems to me that even if nothing else, it is best not to be alone when things could potentially be disastrous, and I think that's where she came down. Once her parents were in the hotel room on the mainland, her own desire to stay put dwindled. Mine would, too. Anyway, I feel better knowing they're all on the mainland and with others who can help if need be.
Tornadoes, too. Jesus. And all of it less than three weeks after Houston.
At least I am temporarily not shrieking about Trump. But only because I'm so worried about the damn weather and the people (and animals) in its wake.
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